MILBANK: Live by CBO, die by CBO

2014-02-09T06:00:00Z MILBANK: Live by CBO, die by CBODana Milbank Washington Post Rapid City Journal
February 09, 2014 6:00 am  • 

WASHINGTON | For years, the White House has trotted out the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office to show that Obamacare would cut health care costs and reduce deficits:

"CBO Confirms Families Will Save Money Under Health Reform."

"CBO Update Shows Lower Costs for the New Health Care Law."

"CBO Confirms: The Health Care Law Reduces the Deficit."

Live by the sword, die by the sword, the Bible tells us. In Washington, it's slightly different: Live by the CBO, die by the CBO.

The congressional number-crunchers, perhaps the capital's closest thing to a neutral referee, came out with a new report Tuesday, and it wasn't pretty for Obamacare. The CBO predicted the law would have a "substantially larger" impact on the labor market than it had previously expected: The law would reduce the workforce in 2021 by the equivalent of 2.3 million full-time workers, well more than the 800,000 originally anticipated. This will inevitably be a drag on economic growth, as more people decide government handouts are more attractive than working more and paying higher taxes.

This is grim news for the White House and for Democrats on the ballot in November. This independent arbiter, long embraced by the White House, has validated a core complaint of the Affordable Care Act's critics: that it will discourage work and become an ungainly entitlement. Disputing Republicans' charges is much easier than refuting the federal government's official scorekeepers.

White House officials rushed to dispute the referee's call -- arguing, somewhat contradictorily, that the finding was both flawed and really good news if interpreted properly.

Press secretary Jay Carney quickly issued a statement saying that the CBO report was, by its own admission, "incomplete" and "does not take into account" some favorable effects of the law.

Carney postponed his daily press briefing, then arrived with Jason Furman, head of the Council of Economic Advisers, who argued that the Affordable Care Act couldn't possibly be a job killer because 8.1 million jobs had been created since it became law. This is true, but irrelevant to the CBO finding.

It was immediately clear that the government's green eyeshades had bestowed a big gift on the law's Republican critics.

In the White House briefing room, Furman navigated a river of skeptical questions. "Doesn't just the sheer idea of losing 2.5 million jobs over 10 years have a negative economic impact? ... You're saying it may be a good thing if there are 2 million fewer workers? ... How do you answer Republicans who now have this evidence that they can wave to say, 'Aha, the ACA is bad for the economy?"'

Furman attempted to dispute the report ("I haven't accepted that number") without disparaging the authors ("We cite CBO all the time"). Delicately, he said the report "is subject to misinterpretation, doesn't take into account every factor, and there's uncertainty and debate around it."

But there's only so much White House officials could do. Obamacare has been undermined by the very entity they had used to validate it.

Follow Dana Milbank on Twitter, @Milbank.

Copyright 2015 Rapid City Journal. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

(1) Comments

  1. Jim Stewart
    Report Abuse
    Jim Stewart - February 09, 2014 8:50 am
    The sooner we can kick ObamaCare to the curb and get a solution that really works and has bi-partisan support the better.
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